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To reverse a years of weakening total element productivity, regional labour market policy is moving from easy task creation to managing active labor force transitions. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more typical as firms integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil prices anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are heightening their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on reinforcing non-oil income frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing economic resilience through more safe and secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI implementation, managed labor force transitions and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic demand and restored financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to exceed most international areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Oil revenues will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, including relieved foreign ownership rules that aim to promote further investment. The fiscal deficit is forecasted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to ease inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services remain essential growth motorists, supported by population development and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to choose up once again in the second half of 2026, matching continuous investment in facilities, innovation and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has come in structure varied, durable and globally competitive economies.
Why Is Business Excellence Vital for Future Expansion?Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is getting speed, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from solid domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government costs and sustained diversity efforts.
Why Is Business Excellence Vital for Future Expansion?What identifies 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather a basic shift in how enterprises develop of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international organization outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC design's development.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 conferences in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the area, and what comes next, including the expansion and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in international networks of capital and trade.
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